BNI Sekuritas projects that bank credit growth this year will increase by 9-10% on an annual basis (year on year/yoy). There are several factors driving bank credit growth. "We see this as an opportunity to invest in the banking sector with the positive catalysts mentioned above, and Indonesia's macro conditions are quite resilient, because big banks are our top choice," management wrote, Friday (13/1). The factors that trigger bank credit growth include, first, an increase in economic activity with higher mobility, because PPKM has been revoked at the end of 2022. So that GDP in 2023 is expected to reach 4.6% YoY.

Furthermore, higher inflation in 2023, causes a higher demand for loans, because companies or corporate loans need to borrow more for working capital and investment. Because they see an increase in prices. In addition, consumption loans will also enjoy the same conditions. This can be seen from the larger transaction size on credit cards and mortgage loans.

Then, sufficient liquidity as LDR is still hovering around 81.7% at the end of November 22, with increasing FX liquidity at a higher level. The non-performing loan (NPL) figure is maintained below 3.0% at the end of September 2022.

On the other hand, the extension of the relaxation of restructured loans to SMEs for all segments, accommodation services, food and beverage and industry absorbs a large number of workers. In addition, the textile and footwear industry must show a positive catalyst for the banking sector as well.