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The protracted war caused a decline in Indonesia's exports to Ukraine. The Central Statistics Agency (BPS) noted that last month, Indonesia did not record any shipments to the European Bread Basket. One of Indonesia's largest export commodities to Ukraine is footwear, which was recorded at zero in March 2022. In the previous two months, footwear exports to Ukraine were US$600,000 each. However, the Executive Director of the Indonesian Footwear Association (Aprisindo) Firman Bakrie believes that overall footwear exports will continue to grow in the first quarter of 2022. This can be seen from the export growth trend in January and February 2022 where the numbers reached double digits.

"In January [exports] we grew 34 percent, in February it grew 29 percent, and the accumulation year-on-year was 32.1 percent. I don't think it will change much until March-April 2022, even if it drops to around 25 percent it's still very high," said Firman, Monday (4/25/2022).

He also continued, for export-oriented production, orders until May to June 2022 are already in hand. The same thing was also shown at the beginning of the pandemic period in 2020 where orders until the first half of the year had been secured so that the utility of production capacity could be maintained.

"In 2020 and 2021 our exports will continue to grow, one of the factors is competitiveness. Despite the Covid pandemic and the war in Russia and Ukraine, we are still optimistic about the commitment of buyers and how we can seize the markets of our competitors," he said.

Over the past year, footwear exports grew by around 27 percent to around US$6 billion. By 2024, exports are targeted to reach US$ 10 billion. This year, export growth is projected to at least match last year's realization.

In addition to footwear, the leading export commodities to Ukraine were zero last month, namely animal/vegetable fats and oils, and paper/cardboard.

During the first quarter of 2022, Indonesia's total exports to Ukraine amounted to US$28.7 million. On a year-on-year basis, this achievement was corrected by 73.6 percent.

Meanwhile, according to records from the Ministry of Industry, the leather, leather goods and footwear industry experienced a 33.42 percent growth in production volume from 793.8 million pairs in 2020 to 1.05 billion pairs in 2021. This year, Firman projects the production volume will return to its pre-pandemic position at 1.2 billion pairs.